Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1959.3/76451

Title

Towards the identification of warning criteria: analysis of a ship accident database

Author(s)

Toffoli, A.;  Lefevre, J. M.;  Bitner-Gregersen, E.;  Monbaliu, J.

Abstract

A ship that founders presents a great disaster both from an economical and a human point of view. It is therefore of concern to meteorological centers to include sea state related parameters in marine weather forecasts when they exceed a certain threshold. At present a standardized warning system is not set up yet. To contribute towards the definition of adequate warning criteria, an investigation was undertaken of ship accidents reported as being due to bad weather. Sea state related parameters (i.e. meteorological centers' standard wave products) at the time of 270 accidents were analyzed and compared to known ship characteristics. In order to estimate a certain degree of severity, results were compared to wave climate variation. In particular the use of quantiles seemed to provide a reasonable description of dangerous seas.

Publication type

Journal article

Source

Applied Ocean Research, Vol. 27, no. 6 (Dec 2005), pp. 281-291

Publication year

2005

FOR Code(s)

0405 Oceanography;  0905 Civil Engineering;  0914 Resources Engineering and Extractive Metallurgy

Keyword(s)

MaxWave project;  Ship accidents;  Sea state parameters;  Warning criteria;  Wave climate;  Weather forecasting

Publisher

Elsevier

ISSN

0141-1187

Publisher URL

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apor.2006.03.003

Copyright

Copyright © 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Peer reviewed