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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/1959.3/217
- Title
- Using official tennis ratings to estimate tournament chances
- Author(s)
- Clarke, Stephen R.; Dyte, David
- Abstract
- While the official ATP computer tennis rankings are used to seed players in tournaments, they are not used to predict player’s chances of winning. Using a year's tournament results, a logistic regression model is fitted to the world ratings, to estimate the chance of winning as a function of difference in rating points. Once the draw for a tournament is available, the resultant probabilities can be used in a simulation to estimate each player’s chances of victory. The method is applied to the 1998 Men's Wimbledon championship.
- Publication type
- Conference paper
- Research centre
- Swinburne University of Technology. Faculty of Life and Social Sciences
- Source
- Proceedings of the 28th Annual Meeting of the Western Decision Sciences Institute, Puerto Vallarta, Mexico, April 6-10, 1999, pp. 777-779
- Publication year
- 2000
- Keyword(s)
- Tennis; Ranking; Statistics; Soccer; Simulation
- Publisher
- Western Decision Sciences Institute
- Format
- text/xml
- Publisher URL
- Proceedings of the 28th Annual Meeting of the Western Decision Sciences Institute, Puerto Vallarta, Mexico, April 6-10, 1999
- Copyright
- © 1999 Stephen R. Clarke & David S. Dyte.
- Peer reviewed
